Model Implied Credit Spreads
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Humpbacks in Credit Spreads∗
Models of credit valuation generally predict a hump-shaped spread term structure for low quality issuers. This is understood to be driven by the shape of the underlying conditional default probabilities curve. We show that (a) recovery assumptions and (b) deviation of bond’s price from par can also drive different term structure shapes. On examining a large set of speculative grade bonds and cr...
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This paper documents that the path of credit spreads since a firm’s last loan influences the level at which it can currently borrow. If spreads have moved in the firm’s favor (i.e., declined), it is charged a higher interest rate than justified by current fundamentals, and if spreads have moved to its detriment, it is charged a lower rate. We evaluate several possible explanations for this find...
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Predictions of firm-level credit spreads based on the current spot and forward credit spreads can be significantly improved upon by using the information contained in the shape of the creditspread curve. However, the current credit-spread curve is not a sufficient statistic for predicting future out-of-sample credit spreads; the explanatory power can be further significantly increased by exploi...
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We propose a two-sided jump model for credit risk by extending the Leland-Toft endogenous default model based on the geometric Brownian motion. The model shows that jump risk and endogenous default can have significant impacts on credit spreads, optimal capital structure, and implied volatility of equity options: (1) The jump and endogenous default can produce a variety of non-zero credit sprea...
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To save space, we present some of our …ndings in the Online Appendix. In Section I, we investigate the intertemporal relation between various skewness measures and expected market returns. In Section II, we orthogonalize the implied volatility spread measures with respect to the implied variance, realized variance, physical skewness and risk-neutral skewness measures. In Section III, we orthogo...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: SSRN Electronic Journal
سال: 2011
ISSN: 1556-5068
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.1943573